"The
Greenland ice is expanding!" Common Arguments from Skeptics From Logical
Science
Many skeptics will point to the expanding Greenland ice as proof that
global warming isn't happening. This misleading argument can
be seen by
Richard Lindzen in the Boston.com article "MIT's
inconvenient scientist":
`the evidence so far suggests that the Greenland ice
sheet is actually
growing on average," and ``Alpine glaciers have been retreating since
the early 19th century, and were advancing for several centuries before
that. Since about 1970, many of the glaciers have stopped retreating
and some are now advancing again. And, frankly, we don't know why."
The truth is that overall ice mass is way down. This is
obvious
if you simply look at the changes in the north poles ice cap:
70 out of 81 of the glaciers monitored by the World Glacier Monitoring Service
are shrinking. And overall ice mass balance is way down. So
why is Greenland growing? The quick and dirty answer is
that
Greenland is melting faster. However, the warmer ocean
temperatures are changing the snow and rain patterns around the world.
Greenland has seen a significant
increase in
snow. This extra snow is outpacing the increased melt.
If current trends continue, it is only a matter of
time
before this trend reverses.
Glaciers around the world are melting at a dramatically increased rate.
When an icesheet starts melting faster a few of the things
you
will see are:
far more icebergs breaking off
an increase in both the frequency and strength of streams
and rivers
carrying water off of the ice
a thinning of the ice around the edges of the sheet
All of these phenomina (and more) are occuring on the Greenland ice
sheet. Since 1979 the area of the Greenland ice sheet that is
melting (melting occurs at the edges) has increased by 16%
which means it's losing about 46
cubic kilometers of ice a year. Yet the interior of greenland
is
gaining about 11 gigatons of snow a year. This difference
between these two numbers means
greenland is gaining about 11
gigatons of snow/ice a year. So Lindzens comment about "we
don't know why" is a little misleading.
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